Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.478900 0.560880 0.650538 0.755592 0.875015 1.006247 1.161058
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.350823 0.459824 0.590585 0.757749 0.964379 1.209941 1.522219
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.257873 0.373568 0.524065 0.731315 1.006004 1.353924 1.823655
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.212352 0.335089 0.506020 0.756305 1.107267 1.574835 2.236268
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.177411 0.302576 0.487895 0.774323 1.196062 1.782659 2.645709
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.157781 0.288075 0.491508 0.820781 1.325918 2.054085 3.160503
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.131669 0.257708 0.465328 0.817157 1.379070 2.217649 3.531851
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.109467 0.229302 0.437188 0.805196 1.415611 2.356387 3.873319
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.092246 0.206255 0.414008 0.797157 1.455356 2.500169 4.229003
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.081485 0.193293 0.406232 0.813467 1.534863 2.709729 4.697578
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.071632 0.180157 0.395980 0.823497 1.603453 2.905016 5.154057
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.062550 0.166794 0.383174 0.826805 1.659595 3.082266 5.590488
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.055360 0.156473 0.375407 0.839593 1.735328 3.300267 6.112622
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.048132 0.144554 0.362627 0.841098 1.790483 3.486924 6.594318
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.039670 0.127579 0.336298 0.811858 1.784600 3.565659 6.895680
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.036312 0.123157 0.337200 0.839094 1.889498 3.848148 7.566537
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.032863 0.117684 0.334797 0.858762 1.980649 4.110653 8.215539
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.031492 0.117918 0.346050 0.909538 2.138285 4.504909 9.120440
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.027464 0.109144 0.333716 0.905571 2.182582 4.688339 9.650847
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.023587 0.099782 0.318317 0.892495 2.206141 4.832769 10.115733
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020432 0.091899 0.305461 0.883706 2.237574 4.993324 10.617385
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.018624 0.088249 0.303611 0.901535 2.328484 5.275906 11.363397
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.016783 0.083953 0.299249 0.912497 2.404686 5.532864 12.071761